Primera Nacional round 1

San Martín Tucumán vs Argentinos Juniors analysis

San Martín Tucumán Argentinos Juniors
55 ELO 68
-10.4% Tilt -22.4%
397º General ELO ranking 149º
29º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.5%
San Martín Tucumán
29.2%
Draw
47.3%
Argentinos Juniors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
San Martín Tucumán
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
47.3%
Win probability
Argentinos Juniors
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Martín Tucumán
+9%
-7%
Argentinos Juniors

ELO progression

San Martín Tucumán
Argentinos Juniors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Martín Tucumán
San Martín Tucumán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2016
UNI
Unión Aconquija
2 - 3
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
52%
26%
22%
53 54 1 0
20 Jun. 2016
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
1 - 0
Unión Aconquija
UNI
40%
27%
33%
52 55 3 +1
12 Jun. 2016
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
2 - 0
Libertad Sunchales
LIB
43%
26%
31%
52 51 1 0
08 Jun. 2016
LIB
Libertad Sunchales
0 - 1
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
51%
27%
22%
51 52 1 +1
04 Jun. 2016
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
1 - 2
Sportivo Belgrano
SPB
32%
29%
39%
53 59 6 -2

Matches

Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2016
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 1
Laferrere
LAF
77%
16%
6%
69 45 24 0
21 May. 2016
RAF
Atletico Rafaela
0 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
61%
22%
17%
68 70 2 +1
15 May. 2016
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 1
Lanús
LAN
17%
25%
58%
67 84 17 +1
07 May. 2016
CAU
Unión Santa Fe
4 - 0
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
64%
22%
14%
68 77 9 -1
01 May. 2016
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
21%
28%
52%
67 84 17 +1