Primera Nacional Grupo A round 30

San Martín San Juan vs San Martín Tucumán analysis

San Martín San Juan San Martín Tucumán
66 ELO 70
6.7% Tilt -6.5%
520º General ELO ranking 397º
33º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
45.9%
San Martín San Juan
27.8%
Draw
26.3%
San Martín Tucumán

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
San Martín San Juan
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.3%
Win probability
San Martín Tucumán
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Martín San Juan
+16%
+12%
San Martín Tucumán

Points and table prediction

San Martín San Juan
Their league position
San Martín Tucumán
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
14º
57
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Almirante Brown
61
61
100%
Argentino Agropecuario
59
59
100%
San Martín Tucumán
57
57
100%
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
55
55
100%
Gimnasia Mendoza
53
53
0%
San Martín San Juan
53
53
0%
Temperley
53
53
0%
Club Atlético Güemes
53
53
0%
Deportivo Morón
53
53
0%
Nueva Chicago
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Def. Belgrano
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Def. Unidos
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Alvarado
13º
44
44
13º
100%
Patronato
14º
42
42
14º
0%
All Boys
15º
42
42
15º
0%
Guillermo Brown
16º
38
41
16º
100%
Almagro
17º
37
37
17º
100%
San Telmo
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Flandria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
San Martín San Juan
San Martín Tucumán
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

San Martín San Juan
San Martín Tucumán
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Martín San Juan
San Martín San Juan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2023
CHI
Nueva Chicago
0 - 0
San Martín San Juan
SMA
36%
28%
36%
66 62 4 0
06 Aug. 2023
SMA
San Martín San Juan
2 - 0
All Boys
ALB
58%
24%
19%
65 61 4 +1
29 Jul. 2023
EST
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
3 - 2
San Martín San Juan
SMA
46%
28%
27%
65 67 2 0
25 Jul. 2023
SMA
San Martín San Juan
1 - 3
Def. Belgrano
DEF
54%
25%
21%
66 64 2 -1
20 Jul. 2023
SMA
San Martín San Juan
2 - 2
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
19%
24%
57%
65 83 18 +1

Matches

San Martín Tucumán
San Martín Tucumán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2023
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
1 - 0
Def. Unidos
CAD
62%
24%
14%
70 59 11 0
06 Aug. 2023
GBR
Guillermo Brown
3 - 0
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
22%
30%
47%
71 57 14 -1
31 Jul. 2023
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
1 - 1
Argentino Agropecuario
AGR
54%
27%
20%
71 65 6 0
23 Jul. 2023
ALM
Almagro
0 - 0
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
26%
32%
43%
71 61 10 0
20 Jul. 2023
RAC
Racing Club
2 - 1
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
73%
18%
9%
71 84 13 0