San Marino U19 vs Sweden U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
9 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 2
ARM
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
6 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 60 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
4 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
5%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 4
LUX
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 0
BLR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 3
RUS
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
SWE
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 1
LTU
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
BGR
1 - 5
SWE
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |