San Marcial vs Cenicero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SDS
3 - 0
MAR
8%
15%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
RBF
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
RRF
0 - 2
MAR
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
RAP
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
PRA
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cenicero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
PRA
1 - 5
CEN
10%
15%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 1
HAR
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
RBF
1 - 1
CEN
12%
17%
72%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 0
RRF
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
4 - 1
CDS
76%
16%
9%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |