San Luigi vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
80.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
LUI
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LUI
2 - 0
CAL
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +4 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUI
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LUI
1 - 2
LEG
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
LUI
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MES
3 - 1
CJA
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 3
MES
17%
21%
61%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MES
1 - 0
TAM
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
MES
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 2
ACE
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |