San Lorenzo vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
LAN
4 - 0
SLO
26%
22%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SLO
3 - 3
RIV
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
VEL
3 - 1
SLO
35%
23%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
SLO
3 - 2
TIG
78%
12%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
EST
1 - 0
SLO
52%
21%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
RAC
0 - 1
BAN
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
PLA
1 - 1
RAC
36%
23%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
RAC
0 - 1
IND
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
CEN
6 - 2
RAC
38%
22%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
RAC
2 - 0
CHA
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |