San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
SLO
1 - 0
QUI
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
PLA
1 - 0
SLO
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
UCO
4 - 0
SLO
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
SLO
0 - 2
ARG
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1992 |
SLO
3 - 0
COQ
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
GLP
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
RAC
0 - 1
NOB
48%
29%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1992 |
UCO
1 - 1
NOB
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
CEN
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1992 |
NOB
3 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |