San Lorenzo vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
RAC
2 - 0
SLO
22%
25%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 1
NOB
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
GLP
2 - 2
SLO
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
JWI
4 - 2
SLO
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CON
0 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CON
2 - 1
COB
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
UCH
0 - 1
CON
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
CON
3 - 2
UNI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
PUE
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |