San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
GLP
0 - 3
SLO
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1972 |
SLO
1 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ATL
0 - 1
SLO
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
SLO
5 - 0
LAN
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CIT
0 - 1
SLO
25%
22%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
VEL
3 - 1
SMA
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
IND
5 - 0
VEL
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLM
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
SMA
0 - 0
VEL
25%
22%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
VEL
2 - 1
FER
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |