San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 0
CEN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GLP
0 - 2
SLO
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
SLO
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SLO
2 - 0
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 0
ONC
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 0
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 2
BOC
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |