Tercera RFEF IV - País Vasco round 6

San Ignacio vs Leioa analysis

San Ignacio Leioa
34 ELO 32
-1.1% Tilt -11.7%
9081º General ELO ranking 8481º
345º Country ELO ranking 302º
ELO win probability
46.6%
San Ignacio
22.8%
Draw
30.5%
Leioa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
San Ignacio
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.5%
Win probability
Leioa
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
San Ignacio
+9%
+21%
Leioa

Points and table prediction

San Ignacio
Their league position
Leioa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
36
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Portugalete
34
70
33%
Leioa
36
70
25.5%
CD Basconia
30
66
31%
Deusto
30
59
20.5%
Beasain KE
24
55
11.5%
San Ignacio
24
52
11.5%
Aretxabaleta
26
51
13%
Eibar C
29
51
13%
CD Lagun Onak
22
47
13.5%
SCD Durango
13º
16
43
10º
10.5%
CD Derio
12º
19
42
11º
12.5%
CD Touring
11º
20
42
12º
14.5%
Pasaia KE
10º
20
42
13º
11.5%
Deportivo Alavés C
16º
14
35
14º
16.5%
CD Padura
14º
16
35
15º
13%
Urduliz FT
15º
15
34
16º
20.5%
Santurtzi
17º
9
25
17º
31%
San Viator
18º
7
25
18º
41%
Expected probabilities
San Ignacio
Leioa
Promotion
2% 49.5%
Promotion play-offs
25% 48.5%
Mid-table
72% 2%
Relegation
1% 0%

ELO progression

San Ignacio
Leioa
CD Touring
Deusto
Portugalete
Eibar C
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

San Ignacio
San Ignacio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
ATX
Aretxabaleta
1 - 0
San Ignacio
SAN
29%
23%
48%
33 24 9 0
29 Sep. 2024
SAN
San Ignacio
2 - 1
San Viator
CSV
63%
19%
18%
33 25 8 0
21 Sep. 2024
POR
Portugalete
1 - 1
San Ignacio
SAN
53%
24%
23%
32 39 7 +1
14 Sep. 2024
SAN
San Ignacio
2 - 1
Eibar C
SDE
85%
10%
5%
32 6 26 0
07 Sep. 2024
CDT
CD Touring
0 - 0
San Ignacio
SAN
36%
23%
40%
32 26 6 0

Matches

Leioa
Leioa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
LEI
Leioa
1 - 0
CD Basconia
BAS
38%
24%
38%
31 37 6 0
28 Sep. 2024
LEI
Leioa
1 - 0
CD Padura
CDP
69%
18%
14%
31 24 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
ATX
Aretxabaleta
2 - 1
Leioa
LEI
27%
23%
50%
32 22 10 -1
14 Sep. 2024
LEI
Leioa
3 - 1
San Viator
CSV
57%
21%
23%
31 27 4 +1
08 Sep. 2024
POR
Portugalete
0 - 0
Leioa
LEI
56%
23%
21%
30 39 9 +1