San Carlos vs Sporting FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
6º
4º
32
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CSC
3 - 1
SAN
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSH
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
SPO
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 1
SPO
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
SPO
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |