San Carlos vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSC
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
3 - 3
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
JFC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 0
BEL
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
4 - 0
ADC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CSC
1 - 1
ADC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 4
UNI
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ADC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |