Samsunspor vs Göztepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
18º
3º
21
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 73 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 71 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 57 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 54 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 51 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 51 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 49 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 49 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 49 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 47 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 44 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 43 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 42 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 42 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 30 |
19º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11.5% | 3.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 8% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
18.5% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samsunspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 1
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
IST
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
KON
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFK
0 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GOZ
3 - 0
KAY
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 0
BOD
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
GOZ
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 2
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
GOZ
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |