Sampdoria vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
BAR
0 - 2
SAM
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 1
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SAM
0 - 0
FIO
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
SAL
2 - 1
SAM
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 3
TOR
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 4
LIV
42%
22%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
0 - 0
LAZ
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |