Samoa vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAH
2 - 0
SAM
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 8
PNG
18%
22%
61%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +11 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TAH
4 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TON
0 - 3
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 5
FIJ
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 2
FIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 1
FIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
0 - 2
SOL
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |