Samgurali vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
10º
5º
35
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 74 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 70 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 66 |
3º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 43 |
5º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 43 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
SAM
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 3
DBA
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 1
SAM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
DTB
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 4
SAB
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAG
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
GAG
2 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAG
3 - 1
KOL
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
GAG
33%
22%
46%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 2
GAG
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |