Sámano vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAM
66%
22%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
GIM
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAM
50%
25%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 3
RAC
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 1
TRO
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAY
4 - 2
ESC
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 4
CUL
50%
24%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 2
ESC
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |