Sámano vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
SFC
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAM
64%
20%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAM
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
RIN
2 - 3
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 3
REV
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BEZ
3 - 0
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RIB
0 - 6
CAS
18%
23%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |