Austrian Bundesliga Jor. 30

Salzburg vs Wacker Innsbruck analysis

Salzburg Wacker Innsbruck
79 ELO 72
2.1% Tilt -9.7%
340º General ELO ranking 2074º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
57.7%
Salzburg
22.9%
Draw
19.4%
Wacker Innsbruck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
Salzburg
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
Wacker Innsbruck
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Salzburg
+11%
+3%
Wacker Innsbruck

ELO progression

Salzburg
Wacker Innsbruck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2011
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 3
Salzburg
RBS
48%
27%
24%
79 80 1 0
09 Apr. 2011
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 1
LASK
LAS
70%
19%
11%
79 63 16 0
03 Apr. 2011
LAS
LASK
1 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
26%
28%
46%
79 63 16 0
20 Mar. 2011
RBS
Salzburg
1 - 1
Austria Wien
AUS
47%
26%
27%
79 80 1 0
12 Mar. 2011
RIE
SV Ried
2 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
42%
28%
30%
79 77 2 0

Matches

Wacker Innsbruck
Wacker Innsbruck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2011
WIN
Wacker Innsbruck
0 - 3
Rapid Wien
RAP
30%
26%
44%
72 79 7 0
09 Apr. 2011
WIN
Wacker Innsbruck
1 - 0
Wiener Neustadt
WIE
39%
27%
33%
71 75 4 +1
02 Apr. 2011
WIE
Wiener Neustadt
2 - 2
Wacker Innsbruck
WIN
51%
25%
24%
71 75 4 0
19 Mar. 2011
WIN
Wacker Innsbruck
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
28%
27%
45%
70 80 10 +1
12 Mar. 2011
LAS
LASK
0 - 1
Wacker Innsbruck
WIN
37%
26%
37%
70 63 7 0
X