Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
RBS
1 - 0
TIR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
RIE
3 - 0
RBS
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
RBS
0 - 1
SWB
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
RBS
46%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
SER
2 - 2
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
SCA
1 - 2
STR
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 1
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 2
AUS
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |