Saltash United vs Ilfracombe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saltash United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
SAL
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 4
SAL
59%
20%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HEA
4 - 0
SAL
77%
13%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 2
SAL
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
BAR
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ilfracombe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 0
ILF
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CLE
3 - 0
ILF
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ILF
2 - 5
BAR
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
ILF
4 - 1
MLB
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
5 - 3
ILF
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |