Serie B round 30

Salernitana vs Catania analysis

Salernitana Catania
51 ELO 69
-14.5% Tilt -9.8%
500º General ELO ranking 2133º
25º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Salernitana
27.4%
Draw
30.6%
Catania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Salernitana
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.6%
Win probability
Catania
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Salernitana
-17%
+7%
Catania

ELO progression

Salernitana
Catania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Salernitana
Salernitana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 1956
SAL
Salernitana
1 - 1
Livorno
LIV
60%
21%
20%
50 56 6 0
29 Apr. 1956
ASS
AC Monza
3 - 3
Salernitana
SAL
64%
22%
14%
50 64 14 0
15 Apr. 1956
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 2
Salernitana
SAL
73%
17%
10%
50 63 13 0
08 Apr. 1956
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 1
Hellas Verona
VER
60%
21%
20%
51 58 7 -1
01 Apr. 1956
PAR
Parma
0 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
74%
16%
10%
50 61 11 +1

Matches

Catania
Catania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 1956
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
56%
23%
22%
69 63 6 0
29 Apr. 1956
CAT
Catania
0 - 0
Udinese
UDI
39%
25%
36%
68 77 9 +1
15 Apr. 1956
ACM
AC Marzotto
2 - 1
Catania
CAT
51%
25%
24%
69 57 12 -1
08 Apr. 1956
ASS
AC Monza
0 - 0
Catania
CAT
40%
28%
32%
69 64 5 0
01 Apr. 1956
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
68%
18%
13%
69 59 10 0