Salernitana vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
20º
13º
28
2º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 85 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 77 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 49 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 49 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
19º
|
21 | 43 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 42 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 41 |
18º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 40 |
19º
|
14.5% | |
|
20º
|
18 | 38 |
20º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 2
SAS
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
SAL
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 0
SAL
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
JUS
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
REG
2 - 1
JUS
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CTT
3 - 1
REG
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
REG
0 - 1
MOD
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |