Sakaryaspor vs Kocaelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
18º
15º
25
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
21 | 74 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 67 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 67 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 65 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 61 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 58 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 57 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 56 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 56 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 56 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 52 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 51 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 51 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 51 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
13 | 50 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 48 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 48 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 44 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 27 |
19º
|
88.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 10 |
20º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 19% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14.5% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sakaryaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
YEN
0 - 2
SAK
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 2
SAK
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAK
3 - 1
IST
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
4 - 0
SAK
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAK
1 - 3
UMR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kocaelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KOC
2 - 1
FAT
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ANK
4 - 2
KOC
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOC
1 - 0
UMR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IST
0 - 3
KOC
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
KOC
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |