Saint-Priest vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
15º
15º
36
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Priest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 1
SAI
66%
20%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 0
FRE
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRF
0 - 0
SAI
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
4 - 1
SAI
67%
21%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
MGG
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 3
OLY
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
AUB
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 3
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
0 - 0
HYE
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 0
CRF
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |