Saint-Nazaire AF vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
13º
12º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LPS
5 - 0
SNA
65%
19%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 2
SNA
62%
18%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 0
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LSD
1 - 1
SNA
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 3
NAN
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 0
CHA
11%
17%
72%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACG
3 - 3
CHA
11%
17%
71%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FON
0 - 1
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 31 | 26 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACG
1 - 3
USS
7%
14%
80%
|
5 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 0
ACG
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 29 | 24 | 0 |