NCAA Division I West Coast round 7

Saint Mary's vs San Diego analysis

Saint Mary's San Diego
24 ELO 19
-5.7% Tilt -0.6%
46710º General ELO ranking 47724º
722º Country ELO ranking 847º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Saint Mary's
18.4%
Draw
17.1%
San Diego

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
Saint Mary's
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.1%
Win probability
San Diego
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Saint Mary's
San Diego
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2021
GBD
Gonzaga
1 - 3
Saint Mary's
SMG
12%
17%
72%
23 12 11 0
30 Oct. 2021
LML
Loyola Marymount
2 - 0
Saint Mary's
SMG
57%
21%
23%
24 28 4 -1
27 Oct. 2021
SMG
Saint Mary's
0 - 1
Santa Clara
SCB
46%
22%
32%
24 25 1 0
23 Oct. 2021
SMG
Saint Mary's
1 - 0
Pacific
PTG
56%
20%
24%
24 21 3 0
09 Oct. 2021
SFD
San Francisco Dons
2 - 2
Saint Mary's
SMG
44%
22%
34%
24 23 1 0

Matches

San Diego
San Diego
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2021
SDT
San Diego
1 - 2
Pacific
PTG
36%
23%
42%
19 23 4 0
30 Oct. 2021
SDT
San Diego
2 - 1
San Francisco Dons
SFD
38%
23%
40%
18 21 3 +1
27 Oct. 2021
SDT
San Diego
1 - 2
Loyola Marymount
LML
24%
21%
54%
18 27 9 0
23 Oct. 2021
SCB
Santa Clara
3 - 2
San Diego
SDT
67%
17%
15%
19 25 6 -1
09 Oct. 2021
PPT
Portland
5 - 1
San Diego
SDT
42%
22%
36%
20 19 1 -1