Saint Mary's vs San Diego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GBD
1 - 3
SMG
12%
17%
72%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LML
2 - 0
SMG
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
0 - 1
SCB
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
PTG
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 2
SMG
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 2
PTG
36%
23%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 1
SFD
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 2
LML
24%
21%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SCB
3 - 2
SDT
67%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PPT
5 - 1
SDT
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |