USL Championship round 29

Saint Louis vs Cincinnati analysis

Saint Louis Cincinnati
49 ELO 58
2.2% Tilt -5.5%
31128º General ELO ranking 174º
404º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31%
Saint Louis
25.8%
Draw
43.2%
Cincinnati

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
Saint Louis
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.2%
Win probability
Cincinnati
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Saint Louis
Cincinnati
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint Louis
Saint Louis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2017
LOU
Saint Louis
2 - 0
Orlando City II
ORL
38%
26%
37%
47 53 6 0
10 Sep. 2017
LOU
Saint Louis
1 - 2
Penn FC
PNN
58%
22%
21%
49 45 4 -2
03 Sep. 2017
OTT
Ottawa Fury
2 - 2
Saint Louis
LOU
61%
22%
17%
48 56 8 +1
31 Aug. 2017
TOR
Toronto II
1 - 1
Saint Louis
LOU
33%
26%
42%
48 42 6 0
27 Aug. 2017
ROC
Rochester New York
2 - 1
Saint Louis
LOU
53%
26%
21%
48 56 8 0

Matches

Cincinnati
Cincinnati
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2017
CIN
Cincinnati
4 - 2
New York RB II
NYO
48%
26%
26%
58 56 2 0
13 Sep. 2017
PNN
Penn FC
1 - 1
Cincinnati
CIN
30%
25%
45%
59 46 13 -1
02 Sep. 2017
CIN
Cincinnati
1 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
PIT
63%
21%
16%
58 49 9 +1
24 Aug. 2017
CIN
Cincinnati
3 - 1
Ottawa Fury
OTT
46%
27%
27%
57 57 0 +1
19 Aug. 2017
NYO
New York RB II
4 - 0
Cincinnati
CIN
39%
27%
33%
59 53 6 -2