MLS Next Pro Jor. 9

St. Louis II vs Austin FC II analysis

St. Louis II Austin FC II
60 ELO 48
3.6% Tilt 7.6%
2187º General ELO ranking 4250º
39º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
63.8%
St. Louis II
21.2%
Draw
15%
Austin FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
St. Louis II
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Win probability
Austin FC II
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Louis II
+5%
+15%
Austin FC II

ELO progression

St. Louis II
Austin FC II
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Ventura County
San Jose Earthquakes II
North Texas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Louis II
St. Louis II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
MIN
Minnesota United II
1 - 2
St. Louis II
STL
32%
24%
44%
59 49 10 0
20 Apr. 2024
STL
St. Louis II
2 - 0
Real Monarchs
MON
67%
20%
14%
58 41 17 +1
13 Apr. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
0 - 1
St. Louis II
STL
27%
24%
49%
58 47 11 0
08 Apr. 2024
STL
St. Louis II
1 - 1
Portland Timbers II
POR
66%
19%
15%
58 39 19 0
31 Mar. 2024
SPK
Sporting Kansas City II
1 - 2
St. Louis II
STL
36%
24%
40%
57 50 7 +1

Matches

Austin FC II
Austin FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2024
COR
Colorado Rapids II
1 - 2
Austin FC II
AFC
63%
21%
17%
47 53 6 0
27 Apr. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
2 - 2
Ventura County
LAG
46%
23%
31%
47 43 4 0
21 Apr. 2024
SAN
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 - 0
Austin FC II
AFC
59%
23%
18%
47 54 7 0
13 Apr. 2024
AFC
Austin FC II
0 - 1
St. Louis II
STL
27%
24%
49%
47 58 11 0
29 Mar. 2024
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
0 - 1
Austin FC II
AFC
60%
23%
17%
46 56 10 +1
X