National 3 round 24

Saint-Lô Manche vs Avranches II analysis

Saint-Lô Manche Avranches II
27 ELO 21
3.5% Tilt -10.5%
4994º General ELO ranking 33466º
276º Country ELO ranking 805º
ELO win probability
65%
Saint-Lô Manche
17.7%
Draw
17.3%
Avranches II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
Saint-Lô Manche
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
17.3%
Win probability
Avranches II
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint-Lô Manche
+24%
+2%
Avranches II

ELO progression

Saint-Lô Manche
Avranches II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint-Lô Manche
Saint-Lô Manche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2019
SAI
Saint-Lô Manche
2 - 1
Caen II
CAE
40%
23%
37%
26 30 4 0
20 Apr. 2019
GON
Gonfreville
1 - 0
Saint-Lô Manche
SAI
37%
25%
39%
26 23 3 0
13 Apr. 2019
SAI
Saint-Lô Manche
0 - 1
FC Rouen 1899
FCR
5%
16%
79%
27 57 30 -1
06 Apr. 2019
BAY
Bayeux
0 - 0
Saint-Lô Manche
SAI
23%
21%
56%
27 19 8 0
30 Mar. 2019
SAI
Saint-Lô Manche
0 - 2
Alençon
ALE
65%
18%
17%
29 25 4 -2

Matches

Avranches II
Avranches II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2019
CAE
Caen II
1 - 1
Avranches II
AVR
72%
16%
13%
21 30 9 0
13 Apr. 2019
AVR
Avranches II
3 - 4
Amicale Laïque
ALA
79%
13%
8%
22 14 8 -1
06 Apr. 2019
GON
Gonfreville
2 - 0
Avranches II
AVR
42%
22%
36%
24 23 1 -2
23 Mar. 2019
AVR
Avranches II
0 - 0
Alençon
ALE
49%
22%
29%
24 24 0 0
16 Mar. 2019
FCR
FC Rouen 1899
2 - 1
Avranches II
AVR
85%
12%
3%
24 57 33 0