Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
AUX
1 - 0
ASS
68%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
CAN
0 - 1
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
ASS
1 - 1
MAR
24%
30%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
USM
0 - 6
ASS
10%
20%
70%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
TOU
1 - 0
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
1 - 2
MON
38%
31%
31%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
SOC
0 - 1
TFC
53%
27%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
2 - 2
CAN
46%
29%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |