Saint-Étienne vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 1
FCR
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
NÎM
0 - 0
ASS
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
ASS
57%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 0
LYO
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
NIC
2 - 1
ASS
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
MET
0 - 0
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
MET
2 - 1
PSG
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
STL
3 - 0
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
SOC
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |