Saint-Étienne II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 2
SAE
29%
24%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAE
1 - 1
FCG
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 5
SAE
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAE
3 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AND
1 - 0
SAE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 2
EVI
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUX
5 - 1
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 0
LPV
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CSL
2 - 1
BOU
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BOU
4 - 1
FEU
76%
16%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |