Sagan Tosu vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
EHI
1 - 2
SAG
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 1
ROA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
YOK
0 - 0
SAG
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
CER
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
MON
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
THE
1 - 2
SHO
26%
26%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
VEG
1 - 0
THE
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
EHI
1 - 2
THE
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
THE
0 - 0
YOK
27%
28%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ROA
2 - 1
THE
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |