J1 League round 12

Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis

Sagan Tosu Kashiwa Reysol
74 ELO 78
0.4% Tilt 14.9%
716º General ELO ranking 451º
18º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
33.5%
Sagan Tosu
25.5%
Draw
41%
Kashiwa Reysol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
Kashiwa Reysol
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagan Tosu
-20%
-10%
Kashiwa Reysol

ELO progression

Sagan Tosu
Kashiwa Reysol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2014
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
44%
25%
31%
73 73 0 0
29 Apr. 2014
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
SAN
34%
27%
39%
73 80 7 0
26 Apr. 2014
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
2 - 3
Sagan Tosu
SAG
47%
25%
29%
73 73 0 0
19 Apr. 2014
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
0 - 3
Sagan Tosu
SAG
39%
26%
35%
72 70 2 +1
16 Apr. 2014
SAG
Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Gamba Osaka
GAM
37%
23%
40%
73 74 1 -1

Matches

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2014
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers
KAA
45%
24%
31%
78 80 2 0
29 Apr. 2014
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
42%
24%
34%
78 74 4 0
26 Apr. 2014
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
3 - 2
Urawa Reds
URA
49%
24%
27%
77 76 1 +1
19 Apr. 2014
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
0 - 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
52%
25%
23%
77 79 2 0
16 Apr. 2014
OMI
Omiya Ardija
1 - 1
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
28%
24%
49%
77 66 11 0