Sagan Tosu vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
SHI
0 - 1
SAG
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
SAG
1 - 2
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 3
SAG
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VEG
0 - 3
SAG
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAG
0 - 2
GAM
37%
23%
40%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
KAR
1 - 0
KAA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GAM
1 - 2
KAR
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
KAR
3 - 2
URA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KAR
0 - 0
FCY
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
OMI
1 - 1
KAR
28%
24%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |