J1 League round 24

Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka analysis

Sagan Tosu Gamba Osaka
74 ELO 75
-6.3% Tilt -10.9%
715º General ELO ranking 464º
18º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
32.2%
Sagan Tosu
25.9%
Draw
41.8%
Gamba Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
Sagan Tosu
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.8%
Win probability
Gamba Osaka
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagan Tosu
-20%
+14%
Gamba Osaka

ELO progression

Sagan Tosu
Gamba Osaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2018
SAG
Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
31%
26%
43%
71 79 8 0
19 Aug. 2018
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu
SAG
39%
27%
35%
72 63 9 -1
15 Aug. 2018
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
0 - 0
Sagan Tosu
SAG
72%
18%
10%
72 82 10 0
11 Aug. 2018
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
Urawa Reds
URA
25%
27%
48%
71 80 9 +1
05 Aug. 2018
SAG
Sagan Tosu
1 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
24%
26%
51%
71 80 9 0

Matches

Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2018
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
40%
25%
36%
76 73 3 0
15 Aug. 2018
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 1
Consadole Sapporo
CON
37%
28%
36%
76 80 4 0
10 Aug. 2018
GAM
Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
42%
27%
31%
75 77 2 +1
05 Aug. 2018
NAG
Nagoya Grampus
3 - 2
Gamba Osaka
GAM
21%
24%
56%
76 59 17 -1
01 Aug. 2018
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
52%
23%
25%
76 79 3 0