Sagan Tosu vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAG
0 - 2
NAG
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SAG
5 - 2
KAW
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JUB
0 - 3
SAG
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 1
SAG
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SAG
0 - 2
TOK
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 1
FCY
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 1
FCT
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 3
KAR
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
FCT
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 1
KYO
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |