Sagamihara vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagamihara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 2
KYO
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FCI
1 - 2
SAG
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SAG
1 - 1
BLA
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SAG
1 - 0
AZU
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VAN
1 - 1
SAG
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
THE
2 - 1
BLA
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
KYO
0 - 1
THE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
THE
2 - 0
FAG
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 2
THE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TOC
2 - 2
THE
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |