J2 League round 13

Sagamihara vs Machida Zelvia analysis

Sagamihara Machida Zelvia
55 ELO 59
-4.7% Tilt -5.7%
2792º General ELO ranking 301º
52º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35%
Sagamihara
27%
Draw
37.9%
Machida Zelvia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
Sagamihara
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sagamihara
-8%
-5%
Machida Zelvia

ELO progression

Sagamihara
Machida Zelvia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sagamihara
Sagamihara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 - 1
Sagamihara
SAG
53%
26%
22%
56 61 5 0
01 May. 2021
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 5
Ryūkyū
RYK
27%
25%
48%
57 62 5 -1
25 Apr. 2021
JEF
JEF United
0 - 1
Sagamihara
SAG
55%
24%
21%
56 58 2 +1
21 Apr. 2021
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
2 - 0
Sagamihara
SAG
53%
27%
21%
56 64 8 0
18 Apr. 2021
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 2
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
27%
28%
45%
57 67 10 -1

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
FAG
Fagiano Okayama
1 - 2
Machida Zelvia
MAC
39%
28%
33%
58 58 0 0
02 May. 2021
MAC
Machida Zelvia
0 - 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
REN
57%
24%
19%
59 49 10 -1
25 Apr. 2021
OMI
Omiya Ardija
0 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
42%
27%
31%
59 58 1 0
21 Apr. 2021
MAC
Machida Zelvia
3 - 0
Ryūkyū
RYK
25%
26%
49%
57 63 6 +2
17 Apr. 2021
VVA
V-Varen Nagasaki
0 - 3
Machida Zelvia
MAC
64%
21%
15%
56 66 10 +1