FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
10º
6º
38
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAB
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 2
GOR
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 1
SHU
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 3
FTK
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TEL
0 - 1
SAB
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 2
DBA
12%
22%
66%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FTK
4 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
1 - 6
DTB
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
GAG
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |