Bundesliga round 30

1. FC Saarbrücken vs Schalke 04 analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Schalke 04
68 ELO 79
11.7% Tilt 9.4%
343º General ELO ranking 388º
28º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
34.6%
1. FC Saarbrücken
23.4%
Draw
42.1%
Schalke 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.1%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
+2%
-6%
Schalke 04

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Schalke 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 1964
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
81%
12%
7%
68 86 18 0
22 Apr. 1964
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
56%
20%
24%
67 74 7 +1
18 Apr. 1964
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
28%
23%
49%
66 81 15 +1
11 Apr. 1964
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
3 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
75%
15%
10%
66 55 11 0
08 Apr. 1964
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
6 - 1
Tennis Borussia
TEN
53%
19%
28%
64 67 3 +2

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 1964
S04
Schalke 04
2 - 1
Karlsruher SC
KSC
55%
22%
24%
79 77 2 0
22 Apr. 1964
PHO
SV Phönix 03
1 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
16%
20%
64%
79 28 51 0
18 Apr. 1964
MUN
1860 München
7 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
65%
18%
18%
80 83 3 -1
11 Apr. 1964
S04
Schalke 04
1 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
67%
19%
15%
80 71 9 0
08 Apr. 1964
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
70%
16%
15%
79 82 3 +1