1. FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1991 |
SCH
2 - 1
SAA
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
SAA
0 - 0
HAV
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1991 |
OSN
0 - 2
SAA
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1991 |
SAA
4 - 1
EBT
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1991 |
BWB
1 - 1
SAA
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1991 |
MSV
2 - 0
DAR
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
ROT
1 - 1
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1991 |
MSV
3 - 0
KÖL
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1991 |
M05
1 - 1
MSV
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1991 |
KOL
3 - 0
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |