1. FC Saarbrücken vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
WWO
2 - 2
SAA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SAA
4 - 1
HEI
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
M05
1 - 2
SAA
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
SAA
4 - 1
BAY
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 1
SAA
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
0 - 2
TSV
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 16 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
1 - 1
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
HOM
4 - 0
WWO
57%
22%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
TSV
0 - 0
HOM
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 16 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
HEI
1 - 1
HOM
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |