3. Liga round 25

1. FC Saarbrücken vs Hannover 96 II analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Hannover 96 II
82 ELO 64
-3.8% Tilt 8.8%
337º General ELO ranking 1888º
28º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
72.8%
1. FC Saarbrücken
18.3%
Draw
8.9%
Hannover 96 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.9%
Win probability
Hannover 96 II
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-1%
-11%
Hannover 96 II

Points and table prediction

1. FC Saarbrücken
Their league position
Hannover 96 II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
14º
22
15º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dynamo Dresden
45
69
29.5%
Energie Cottbus
48
69
29%
1. FC Saarbrücken
44
68
24.5%
Arminia Bielefeld
40
64
18.5%
Ingolstadt 04
39
60
13%
Viktoria Köln
40
58
7.5%
Wehen Wiesbaden
37
56
15%
Verl
37
55
13%
Hansa Rostock
38
54
15%
B. Dortmund II
11º
33
51
10º
9.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
10º
34
50
11º
12.5%
Sandhausen
12º
31
49
12º
15.5%
Rot-Weiss Essen
14º
30
48
13º
13.5%
1860 München
16º
29
47
14º
13%
Waldhof Mannheim
18º
27
45
15º
10.5%
VfL Osnabrück
15º
29
45
16º
11%
Alemannia Aachen
13º
31
43
17º
15.5%
Stuttgart II
17º
28
43
18º
15.5%
Hannover 96 II
19º
22
37
19º
41.5%
Unterhaching
20º
18
30
20º
66.5%
Expected probabilities
1. FC Saarbrücken
Hannover 96 II
Promotion
45.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
24.5% 0%
Mid-table
30% 8%
Relegation
0% 92%

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Hannover 96 II
Viktoria Köln
Energie Cottbus
1860 München
Stuttgart II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2025
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
14%
22%
64%
82 65 17 0
08 Feb. 2025
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 1
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
59%
23%
18%
82 70 12 0
01 Feb. 2025
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
28%
25%
47%
82 75 7 0
25 Jan. 2025
SVS
Sandhausen
3 - 4
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
26%
25%
50%
82 72 10 0
18 Jan. 2025
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
4 - 0
1860 München
MUN
57%
24%
19%
81 71 10 +1

Matches

Hannover 96 II
Hannover 96 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2025
HAN
Hannover 96 II
1 - 5
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
35%
24%
41%
65 71 6 0
09 Feb. 2025
VER
Verl
1 - 0
Hannover 96 II
HAN
62%
21%
17%
65 74 9 0
02 Feb. 2025
HAN
Hannover 96 II
2 - 2
Sandhausen
SVS
38%
25%
37%
65 72 7 0
26 Jan. 2025
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
5 - 1
Hannover 96 II
HAN
51%
24%
26%
66 68 2 -1
17 Jan. 2025
HAN
Hannover 96 II
2 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
37%
24%
39%
65 72 7 +1