Regionalliga Südwest round 24

1. FC Saarbrücken vs Freiburg II analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Freiburg II
57 ELO 48
7.5% Tilt 9%
318º General ELO ranking 1445º
28º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
61.9%
1. FC Saarbrücken
21.2%
Draw
16.9%
Freiburg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
Freiburg II
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
-3%
-8%
Freiburg II

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Freiburg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2018
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
2 - 2
SV Elversberg
ELV
57%
23%
20%
56 52 4 0
26 Jan. 2018
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
1 - 0
Ulsan HD FC
ULS
18%
22%
60%
57 75 18 -1
22 Jan. 2018
MAT
Mattersburg
1 - 0
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
75%
16%
9%
57 75 18 0
16 Jan. 2018
F91
F91 Dudelange
1 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
70%
17%
13%
57 70 13 0
09 Jan. 2018
PFO
Pforzheim
0 - 4
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
13%
16%
71%
57 44 13 0

Matches

Freiburg II
Freiburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2017
FRE
Freiburg II
2 - 0
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
39%
26%
35%
48 55 7 0
26 Nov. 2017
FRE
Freiburg II
4 - 3
TuS Koblenz
TUS
68%
19%
14%
49 42 7 -1
17 Nov. 2017
AST
Astoria Walldorf
0 - 1
Freiburg II
FRE
35%
25%
40%
48 45 3 +1
11 Nov. 2017
WWO
Wormatia Worms
1 - 4
Freiburg II
FRE
36%
25%
39%
47 42 5 +1
05 Nov. 2017
FRE
Freiburg II
2 - 1
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
43%
23%
33%
46 47 1 +1