1. FC Saarbrücken vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
SAA
7 - 2
WUP
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
GUT
1 - 1
SAA
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
SAA
0 - 2
PRE
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
SAA
0 - 2
HOM
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
BNE
1 - 3
SAA
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
ERK
1 - 1
EIN
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
ERK
1 - 1
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
ROT
3 - 1
ERK
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 1
PAD
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
BSC
0 - 2
ERK
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |