1. FC Saarbrücken vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 0
SAA
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
OSN
2 - 0
SAA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 0
STU
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WER
2 - 2
SAA
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAA
2 - 2
BAB
62%
21%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 2
WAC
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ERF
1 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
WEH
0 - 0
ARB
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 1
SSV
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
1 - 3
SVS
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |