Qualif. Champions Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Sūduva vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
SUD
3 - 0
KZA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SUD
4 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
SUD
1 - 2
TRA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2019 |
MCF
1 - 4
SUD
9%
15%
76%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SUD
2 - 1
PAN
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
CRV
1 - 3
FCB
85%
11%
4%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
CRV
0 - 1
ZEN
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
APO
1 - 1
CRV
24%
23%
52%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 1
CRV
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
CRV
0 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |