UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals

Russia U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis

Russia U21 Sweden U21
66 ELO 74
2.3% Tilt 9.8%
1360º General ELO ranking 1420º
14º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
42%
Russia U21
26.1%
Draw
31.8%
Sweden U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
Russia U21
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.8%
Win probability
Sweden U21
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Russia U21
+15%
-2%
Sweden U21

ELO progression

Russia U21
Sweden U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Russia U21
Russia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 1998
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 0
Russia U21
RUS
55%
24%
21%
68 79 11 0
10 Oct. 1997
RUS
Russia U21
3 - 2
Bulgaria U21
BGR
57%
23%
21%
68 66 2 0
09 Sep. 1997
BGR
Bulgaria U21
1 - 2
Russia U21
RUS
42%
25%
33%
67 66 1 +1
19 Aug. 1997
GER
Germany U21
2 - 4
Russia U21
RUS
67%
19%
14%
66 75 9 +1
07 Jun. 1997
RUS
Russia U21
1 - 1
Israel U21
ISR
54%
23%
23%
66 63 3 0

Matches

Sweden U21
Sweden U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 1998
NOR
Norway U21
1 - 0
Sweden U21
SWE
37%
27%
36%
74 65 9 0
24 Mar. 1998
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 0
Sweden U21
SWE
61%
22%
18%
74 79 5 0
10 Oct. 1997
SWE
Sweden U21
5 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
85%
11%
4%
74 45 29 0
09 Sep. 1997
SWE
Sweden U21
5 - 0
Latvia U21
LVA
83%
13%
5%
74 49 25 0
05 Sep. 1997
AUT
Austria U21
0 - 4
Sweden U21
SWE
20%
25%
55%
74 56 18 0